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Behavioral Economics and the Conduct of Benefit-Cost Analysis: Towards Principles and Standards

机译:行为经济学与收益成本分析的进行:原则和标准

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摘要

As traditionally conducted, benefit-cost analysis is rooted in neoclassical welfare economics, which assumes that individuals act rationally and are primarily motivated by self-interest, making decisions that maximize their own well-being. Its conduct is now evolving to reflect recent work in behavioral economics, which integrates psychological aspects of decisionmaking. We consider several implications for analyses of social programs. First, benefit-cost analysis often involves valuing nonmarket outcomes such as reductions in health and environmental risks. Behavioral research emphasizes the need to recognize that these values are affected by psychological as well as physical attributes. Second, benefit-cost analysis traditionally uses exponential discounting to reflect time preferences, while behavioral research suggests that individuals’ discounting may be hyperbolic. However, steep near-term rates may largely reflect impulsive behavior and self-control problems. Third, behavioral research emphasizes the influence of social preferences on valuation. In addition to acting altruistically, individuals may act reciprocally to reward or punish others, or use the status of others as the baseline against which to assess their own well-being. Fourth, behavioral economics identifies factors that can help develop valuation studies that provide well-informed, thoughtful preferences. Finally, while behavioral research has led some to argue for a more paternalistic approach to policy analysis, an alternative is to continue to focus on describing the preferences of those affected by the policy options while working to ensure that these preferences are based on knowledge and careful reflection. Benefit-cost analysis can be best viewed as a pragmatic framework for collecting, organizing, and evaluating relevant information.
机译:按照传统进行的福利成本分析植根于新古典主义的福利经济学,该经济学假设个人理性地行事,并且主要是出于自身利益的动机,做出使自己的福祉最大化的决策。它的行为正在演变,以反映行为经济学的最新成果,该行为融合了决策的心理学方面。我们考虑了对社会计划分析的一些启示。首先,效益成本分析通常涉及评估非市场结果,例如减少健康和环境风险。行为研究强调需要认识到这些价值受心理和身体属性的影响。其次,收益成本分析传统上使用指数折扣来反映时间偏好,而行为研究表明,个人折扣可能是双曲线的。然而,陡峭的近期利率可能在很大程度上反映了冲动行为和自我控制问题。第三,行为研究强调社会偏好对估值的影响。除了采取利他行动之外,个人还可以相互采取行动来奖励或惩罚他人,或者以他人的身分作为评估自己幸福感的基准。第四,行为经济学确定了有助于发展估值研究的因素,这些研究提供了消息灵通,考虑周到的偏好。最后,尽管行为研究使一些人主张采取更为家长式的政策分析方法,但另一种方法是继续专注于描述受政策选择影响的人们的偏好,同时努力确保这些偏好基于知识和谨慎反射。效益成本分析最好被视为一种实用的框架,用于收集,组织和评估相关信息。

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